POLL BLIP? – AT 10:55 A.M.  ET:  We reported last night on a new poll in the critical state of Michigan, which votes Tuesday, showing John Kasich two points ahead of Donald Trump, who'd been leading in the state.  But the poll was immediately questioned because Trump's previous lead had been YUGE!

New polls out this morning suggest that, yes, the Kasich "lead" may simply be a polling blip.  From the Columbus Dispatch: 

But two Michigan polls released Sunday morning suggested the good-news Kasich poll may be an outlier. CBS and NBC-Wall Street Journal polls showed near-identical results. The average: Trump, 40 percent; Cruz, 23 percent; Rubio, 17 percent; and Kasich, 14 percent, leaving him in danger of not receiving any Michigan delegates.

COMMENT:  Yeah, I'd imagine the good news for Kasich wasn't real.  However, you never know.  Ted Cruz's victories in two states yesterday were surprises, and defied the polls.  And Cruz's very strong finishes in two other states were also surprises.  There are some indications that Trump's behavior over the last week, plus the denunciation of him by Mitt Romney, are having some effect.

March 6,  2016